Inflation in Ukraine: causes, trends and ways to overcome

Authors

  • V. Volkova Vasyl Stus Donetsk National University
  • K. Tukila Vasyl Stus Donetsk National University

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.31558/2307-2318.2021.1.6

Keywords:

inflation; inflation processes; consumer price index; monetary policy; anti-inflation policy; targeting

Abstract

Inflationary processes in our time have a negative impact on all aspects of society. In particular, inflation hinders economic growth, destroys the monetary system, contributes to the devaluation of human labor and promotes the release of money abroad.
The purpose of the article is to study inflation in Ukraine, identify patterns of its development and identify ways to overcome it in modern conditions.
The main patterns of development of inflation processes in Ukraine are highlighted and the analysis of the main inflation indicators during 2014-2020 is carried out. As a result, there has been a trend of slowing inflation since 2017 in Ukraine due to the strengthening of the hryvnia exchange rate and the general decline in world energy prices. The main factors influencing the consumer price index in Ukraine during the study period are also identified and the values are compared with each other for the study period. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on expected inflation is taken into account.
In addition, the factors that accelerate and curb inflation in Ukraine are highlighted. Factors accelerating inflation included: credit expansion; oversaturation of money circulation channels; high demand for goods and services; increasing the level of production costs; seasonality. Factors holding back inflation included: strengthening the national currency; rising prices for basic products; raising social minimums; rapid growth of money supply associated with bank lending, etc.
Based on the considered points of view on the problem of overcoming inflation in the country, the ways of overcoming inflationary processes are proposed, which are aimed at compensating for the devaluation of the population's money and stabilizing the country's money turnover.

Author Biography

V. Volkova , Vasyl Stus Donetsk National University

PhD in Economics, Associate Professor, Associate Professor of Finance and Banking

References

Marshall A. (2008). Fundamentals of economic science. Mykolayiv: Eksmo [in Ukrainian].

Fysher Y. (1994).Pokupatel'naia sposobnost' deneh. Retrieved from https://docplayer.ru/26638219-Irving-fisher-pokupatelnaya-sposobnost-deneg.html [in Russ].

Rikardo D. (2005). Osnovni idei ekonomichnoho vchennia. Kyiv: Znannia [in Ukrainian].

Pyhu A. S.(1985). Ekonomycheskaia teoryia blahosostoianyia (1-2 ed.). Mykolayiv: Prohress [in Ukrainian].

Yum D. (1978). Sovetskaia entsyklopedyia (30 th thome). Mykolaiv [in Ukrainian].

Samuel'son P. (2002). Osnovanyia ekonomycheskoho analyza. Sankt-Peterburh: Ekonomycheskaia shkola [in Russ.].

Makkonnell K.R. (2007). Ekonomyks: pryntsypy, problemy y polityka. Moskow: Ynfra-M [in Russ.].

Dzh. Saks. & F.Larren (1996). Makroekonomyka. Hlobal'nyj podkhod. Retrieved from https://institutiones.com/download/books/1879-makroekonomika-globalnyj-podxod-saks.html [in Russ.].

Samuel'son P. & Nordkhaus V. (2014). Economics. Moscow: «Vyl'iams» [in Russ.].

Tuhan-Baranovskyj M. (1894). Promyshlennye kryzysy v sovremennoj Anhlyy, ykh prychyny y vlyianye na narodnuiu zhyzn' (4th ed.). Sankt-Peterburh: Ekonomycheskaia shkola [in Russ.].

Korablyn S. (1995). Ravnovesye y proportsyonal'nost' v ekonomyke (Ph.D. Thesis). Kiev: NAN Ukrayny [in Ukrainian].

Zhalilo Ya. Teoriia ta praktyka formuvannia efektyvnoi ekonomichnoi stratehii derzhavy. – Kiev: NISD. Retrieved from http://old2.niss.gov.ua/content/articles/files/verska_Zhalilo_new-47147.pdf

Hryshyn Y. (2009). Obespychenye ustojchyvosty razvytyia y konkurentosposobnosty rehyona (na prymere Respublyky Moldovyy) (Abstract of Ph.D. Thesis). Ekonomyka y upravlenye narodnym khoziajstvom. Moskva: Rossyjskaia ekonomycheskaia akademyia ymeny H.V.Plekhanova. . Retrieved from https://core.ac.uk/download/pdf/197387012.pdf

Najd'onov, V. & Korotkevych O. Pro transformatsii kapitalu pidpryiemstv. Ekonomika Ukrainy, 2009, 4, 93-95. [in Ukrainian].

Panchyshyn S. (2002). Makroekonomika: navch. posib. dlia stud. vysch. navch. zakl. Kyiv.: Lybid' [in Ukrainian].

Sirko A. (2014). Politekonomiya: navch. posibny`k. Kyiv: Centr uchbovoyi literatury` [in Ukrainian].

Phelps E. Inflation in the theory of public fnance. The Swedish Journal of Economics. 1973, 75(1), 67-82. doi: doi.org/10.2307/3439275.

Nekrasova L. Suchasnyj stan ta osoblyvosti rehuliuvannia infliatsii v Ukraini. Molodyj vchenyj, 2014, 5(08), 163-165. [in Ukrainian].

Ofitsijnyj sajt Natsional'noho banku Ukrainy (2020). Retrieved from https://bank.gov.ua/news/all/natsionalniy-bank-zberig-prognoz-inflyatsiyi-na-2019-2021-roki-i-polipshiv-otsinku-zrostannya-ekonomiki-7024

«Infliatsijnyj zvit» Natsional'noho banku Ukrainy za 2020 rik (2020). Retrieved from https://bank.gov.ua/admin_uploads/article/IR_2020-Q1.pdf?v=

Ofitsijnyj sajt Derzhavnoi sluzhby statystyky Ukrainy (2020). Retrieved from http://www.ukrstat.gov.ua/

Vinayagathasan T. Inflation and economic growth: A dynamic panel threshold analysis for Asian economies. Journal of Asian Economics. 2013, 26, 31 41. doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asieco.2013.04.001

Ofitsijnyj sajt Ukrinform (2020). Retrieved from https://www.ukrinform.ua/tag-inflacia

Osnovni napriamky antyinfliatsijnoi polityky v Ukrain (2020). Retrieved from http://www.uaeconomic.com/ulens-590-1.html

Tiveriads'ka L. (2017). Infliatsijni protsesy ta ikh sotsial'no-ekonomichni naslidky v Ukraini. Retrieved from https://pgasa.dp.ua/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/2-2.pdf [in Ukrainian].

Byvshev, R. О., & Listopadov, A. О. (2019). Inflation and its impact on the economy of Ukraine. Visnyk ekonomichnoi nauky Ukrainy, 2 (37), 3-7. Retrieved from https://doi.org/10.37405/1729-7206.2019.2(37).3-7

Bezzub E. (2020). Ekonomichna kryza v Ukraini: vybir mizh defoltom ta MVF. Hromads'ka dumka pro pravotvorennia, 5(190), 11 18. Retrieved from http://nbuviap.gov.ua/images/dumka/2020/5.pdf

Tarhetuvannia (2020). Retrieved from https://bank.gov.ua/admin_uploads/article/IT_nbu_pr_2016-03-16.pdf?v=4

Sinelnikova-Muryleva E. & Grebenkina A. (2019). Optimal'naya inflyatsiya i inflyatsionnoe targetirovanie: stranovoy opyt. Finance: Theory and Practice. 23(1), 49-65. Retrieved from https://doi.org/10.26794/2587-5671-2019-23-1-49-65

Downloads

Published

2021-08-05

Issue

Section

Articles