Theoretical aspects of demographic sustainability.

Authors

  • S. Kozlovskyi Донецький національний університет імені Василя Стуса
  • A. Nepytaliuk Донецький національний університет імені Василя Стуса

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.31558/2307-2318.2019.3.6

Keywords:

demographic structure, demographic sustainability, economy growth, economic strategy, economic sustainability

Abstract

Both natural and migration processes affect the population’s size and structure, determining the scale of public production. The nature of those interrelations – considering the constant need to improve the system of public administration and to increase the social welfare as well – requires a profound study. The national macroeconomic strategy should be designed, regarding the introduction of demographic sustainability as the basic category to ensure endogenous growth. The purpose of this paper is to analyze, to systematize and to develop the theoretical and methodological determination approaches to the category of demographic sustainability as well as to outline its role in the economic growth processes’ acceleration under conditions of globalization. Theoretical and methodological bases of this study are represented by the scientific works, addressing the problem in question, of domestic and foreign scientists. The dialectical, systemic and structural approaches, the methods of analysis, synthesis, comparison, generalization, and scientific abstraction were applied. Empirical experience proves that the GDP’s dynamics is influenced by the plurality of natural (total population and population density, specific weight of economically active population, fertility and mortality rates, average life expectancy, etc.) and mechanical (character and dynamics of migration, level of migrants’ qualifications etc.) factors. The national production’s efficiency could be enhanced by the achievement of the social environment’s sustainable and predictable state and by the integration of demographic variables into the production function’s model as well. The category of demographic sustainability could and should be integrated into the social and economic development strategy in order to increase productive potential, to activate both human and physical capital’s growth as well as to raise public welfare.

Author Biographies

S. Kozlovskyi, Донецький національний університет імені Василя Стуса

д. е. н., професор

A. Nepytaliuk, Донецький національний університет імені Василя Стуса

аспірант

References

Bloom, D. E., & Freeman R. B. (1988). Economic Development and the Timing and Components of Population Growth. Journal of Policy Modeling, vol. 10 (1), pp. 57–81.

Bloom, D. E., Sachs, J. D., Collier, P., & Udry, C. (1998). Geography, demography, and economic growth in Africa. Brookings papers on economic activity, vol. 2, pp. 207–295.

Kelley, A. C., & Schmidt, R. M. (1995). Aggregate population and economic growth correlations : the role of the components of demographic change. Demography, vol. 32 (4), pp. 543–555.

Lindh, T., & Malmberg, B. (1998). Age structure and inflation – a Wicksellian interpretation of the OECD data. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, vol. 36 (1), pp. 19–37.

Robertson, P. E. (2002). Why the tigers roared: capital accumulation and the East Asian miracle. Pacific Economic Review, vol. 7 (2), pp. 259–274.

Hagen, J. von, & Walz, U. (1995). Social security and migration in an ageing Europe. Politics and Institutions in an Integrated Europe, vol. 1, pp. 177–192.

Романюк А. І. Демографічні тенденції в Україні : минуле, сьогодення і майбутнє / А. І. Романюк, О. М. Гладун // Демографія та соціальна економіка. – 2015. – № 3. – С. 21–42.

Козловський С. В. Концепція управління стійкість сучасної економічної системи як основа забезпечення її розвитку / С. В. Козловський, О. В. Рудковський, А. В. Козловський // Економіка та держава. – 2017.– № 12. – С. 4 – 8.

Курило І. О. Народжуваність та материнство в Україні : регіональний аспект / І. О. Курило, С. Ю. Аксьонова, Б. О. Крімер // Демографія та соціальна економіка. – 2016. – № 1. – С. 65–79.

Либанова Э. М. Демографические сдвиги в контексте социального развития / Э. М. Либанова // Демографія та соціальна економіка. – 2014. – № 1. – С. 9–23.

Anand, S., & Sen, A. K. (1996). Sustainable human development: concepts and priorities. In ODS Discussion Paper Series, no. 1.

McMichael, A. J., Butler, C. D., & Folke, C. (2003). New visions for addressing sustainability. Science, vol. 302 (5652), pp. 1919–1920.

Simon, J. L., & R. Gobin. (1980). The Relationship between Population and Economic Growth in LDCs. Research in Population Economics, vol. 2, pp. 215–234.

Dolado, J., Goria, A. & Ichino, A. (1994). Immigration, human capital and growth in the host country. Journal of population economics, vol. 7 (2), pp. 193–215.

32. Lee, R. (2016). Macroeconomics, aging, and growth. Economics of Population Aging. Vol. 1, pp. 59–118.

Coulmas, F. (2007). Population decline and ageing in Japan-the social consequences. Routledge.

Van Der Gaag, N., & De Beer, J. (2015). From Demographic Dividend to Demographic Burden: The Impact of Population Ageing on Economic Growth in Europe. Tijdschrift voor economische en sociale geografie, vol. 106 (1), pp. 94–109.

World Bank Open Data [Electronic Resources] / Access to the resource https://data.worldbank.org/ – Title of the screen.

Razin, A., Sadka, E., & Swagel, P. (2002). The aging population and the size of the welfare state. Journal of Political Economy, vol. 110 (4), pp. 900–918.

Chomik, R., & Whitehouse, E. R. (2010). Trends in pension eligibility ages and life expectancy, 1950-2050. Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development.

Pasichnyi, M. (2017). Empirical study of the fiscal policy impact on economic growth. Problems and Perspectives in Management, vol. 15 (3), pp. 316–322. doi : http://dx.doi.org/10.21511/ppm.15(3-2).2017.01

Chugunov, I., & Pasichnyi, M. (2018). Fiscal stimuli and consolidation in emerging market economies. Investment Management and Financial Innovations, 15 (4), 113-122. doi: 10.21511/imfi.15 (4).2018.09

Пасічний М. Д. Фінансова політика держави : монографія / М. Д. Пасічний. – Київ : Київ. нац. торг.-екон. ун-т, 2019. – 440 с.

Issue

Section

Articles