Modeling of enterprise socio-economic efficiency management

Abstract

The article is devoted to the research of the peculiarities of modeling the management of social and economic efficiency of the enterprise JSC "Khmelnitskoblenergo". The paper provides an analysis of the main performance indicators and constructs the dynamics of growth / decline of the main financial results of JSC "Khmelnitskoblenergo" in the period 2017-2020. The study simulates the socio-economic efficiency of the enterprise based on three factors of influence - labor costs (X1), social security contributions (X2), depreciation costs (X3), and the performance indicator - net profit (Y). As a result of correlation-regression analysis, a model of the linear dependence of the net profit of JSC "Khmelnitskoblenergo" on labor costs, deductions for social activities, depreciation costs was obtained. The economic meaning of the obtained equation is as follows: increase in labor costs by UAH 1. will reduce the net profit of JSC "Khmelnitskoblenergo" by UAH 0.304 thousand; increase in the amount of contributions to social activities by UAH 1. will increase the net profit of JSC "Khmelnitskoblenergo" by 2.7145 thousand UAH; increase in depreciation costs by UAH 1. will increase the net profit of JSC "Khmelnitskoblenergo" by 0.3232 thousand UAH. Based on the modeling, it was determined that in 2021 the value of the net profit of JSC "Khmelnitskoblenergo" will change in the range from 109761.8 to 157949.9 thousand UAH with a probability of 95%. As a result of the study, it can be argued that investments in salaries, social activities and depreciation will lead to an increase in net profit of JSC "Khmelnitskoblenergo".